Leonvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leon 3-0 Real Salt Lake
Original prediction
Real Salt Lake
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 31.1% | 36.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.9% | 26.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 42.0% | 36.9% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40