Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leon 2-0 Monterrey
Original prediction
Monterrey
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeonWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MonterreyWWWLW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LeonMonterrey
41.7Attack100.0
58.3Defence58.3
50.0Form75.0
53.0Power75.3
1.28xG1.65