Leonvs
Club America
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leon 1-0 Club America
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 31.2% | 36.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 26.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.1% | 37.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60