GGOALVIO

Austria · Cup · 7/22/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leobendorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leobendorf are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SV Horn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Horn hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Cup, while Leobendorf holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leobendorf

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Leobendorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeobendorfDDLWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SV HornDWLWD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LeobendorfSV Horn
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.90xG1.86
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