Leobendorfvs
Mattersburg SV 2020
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mattersburg SV 2020 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leobendorf 2-1 Mattersburg SV 2020
Original prediction
Mattersburg SV 2020
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.5% | 35.2% | -22.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 25.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 19.7% | 39.5% | 19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Mattersburg SV 2020
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Mattersburg SV 2020 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80