Leobendorfvs
Gloggnitz
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leobendorf · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leobendorf 1-1 Gloggnitz
Original prediction
Leobendorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.7% | 43.6% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.70 | 24.3% | 29.0% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Leobendorf
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Leobendorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60