Leobendorfvs
Fach-Donaufeld
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leobendorf 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leobendorf 3-0 Fach-Donaufeld
Original prediction
Fach-Donaufeld
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.4% | 28.7% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 28.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.2% | 42.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Leobendorf 0–1 Fach-Donaufeld
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Fach-Donaufeld
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60