Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leoben · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Leoben are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SV Horn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Leoben hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the 2. Liga, while Leoben holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leoben
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Leoben has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60