GGOALVIO

Leo Victor logoLeo VictorvsNotch logoNotch

COMPLETED

Suriname · Eerste Divisie · 10/15/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leo Victor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Leo Victor 0-0 Notch

Original prediction

Leo Victor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 13:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2969.5%53.3%-16.2 pts
Draw4.5919.5%24.2%4.7 pts
Away8.2210.9%22.4%11.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Leo Victor

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Leo Victor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leo VictorWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NotchLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Leo VictorNotch
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
2.12xG1.17
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