Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Lyon W
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Lyon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lens WLDLLL
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lyon WWDWWW
GF 28 · GA 2 · avg 5.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lens WLyon W
33.3Attack100.0
16.7Defence75.0
8.3Form100.0
23.6Power92.3
1.09xG2.81