Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lens
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LensLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ToulouseWDLWD
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LensToulouse
66.7Attack57.1
47.6Defence47.6
47.6Form42.9
54.6Power50.4
2.07xG1.53