Lensvs
Sporting CP
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/13/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lens 0-2 Sporting CP
Original prediction
Lens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 37.5% | 37.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.8% | 26.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 36.7% | 35.7% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lens
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LensWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPWDDWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LensSporting CP
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.68xG1.58