Lensvs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/15/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lens are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20