Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Lens
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LensWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MarseilleLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LensMarseille
60.0Attack46.7
40.0Defence46.7
26.7Form20.0
42.6Power37.1
1.82xG1.41