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COMPLETED

France · Ligue 1 · 8/22/2026, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lens · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lens 5-2 Auxerre

Original prediction

Lens

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Lens

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LensWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AuxerreWDDLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LensAuxerre
44.1Attack47.1
63.7Defence50.0
50.0Form41.2
53.8Power47.1
1.45xG0.92
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