Lens U19vs
Sporting CP U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lens U19 3-2 Sporting CP U19
Original prediction
Sporting CP U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 20.2% | 32.0% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.7% | 25.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.1% | 42.7% | -15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP U19
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Sporting CP U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80