First LeagueFirst League
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Leningradets

Leningradets

Home
L
00
Full time
Ural

Ural

Away
L
Petrovsky Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Leningradets36%
Ural35%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Leningradets
36%
Draw
29%
Ural
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leningradets
9
Ural
9
Defence
Leningradets
6
Ural
66
Momentum
Leningradets
0
Ural
0
Danger (xG)
Leningradets
0.00
Ural
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Leningradets)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Ural)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Leningradets)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Ural)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LeningradetsLeningradets
L
UralUral
LLW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Leningradets36%
Draw29%
Ural35%

Leningradets leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leningradets head into this in First League fixture at Petrovsky Stadium in mixed form (L), while Ural arrive in mixed form (L). Leningradets have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Ural over 1 games.

The model rates Leningradets's attack at 9/100 against a 66/100 Ural defence, and Ural's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Leningradets backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Leningradets have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Ural have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Leningradets and Ural in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ural to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Leningradets 3570%, Draw 2907%, Ural 3522%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Leningradets

Leningradets

L
@ FC UFA
11 Jul 2026
03
Ural

Ural

L
vs Torpedo Moskva
13 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Chernomorets
16 May 2026
12
W
vs KAMAZ
11 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leningradets vs Ural?

GoalVio's model predicts Ural to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Ural?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Leningradets vs Ural?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leningradets vs Ural?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more