Leningradetsvs
Luki-Energiya
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leningradets 2-0 Luki-Energiya
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.9% | 34.4% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.6% | 27.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.5% | 38.2% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20