Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
León W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40