Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
León W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
León W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puebla W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while León W holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
León W
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
León W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20