Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
León W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
León W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while León W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
León W
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
León W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40