Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
León W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 91.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40