Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
León W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while América W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 91.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 24 · GA 3 · avg 4.80/0.60