Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Leki are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WDWW), averaging 6.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while VPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Suomen Cup, while VPS holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
7.5%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 27 · GA 4 · avg 6.75/1.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60