Leixoesvs
União de Leiria
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leixoes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while União de Leiria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and União de Leiria hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
21.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80