GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leixoes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while União de Leiria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and União de Leiria hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

21.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeixoesLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
União de LeiriaLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LeixoesUnião de Leiria
28.4Attack43.1
62.7Defence60.8
36.3Form41.2
44.9Power49.0
0.71xG0.89
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