GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/21/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Clara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leixoes are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santa Clara are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Clara hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Segunda Liga, while Santa Clara holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Clara

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeixoesLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Santa ClaraWWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.67/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
LeixoesSanta Clara
28.4Attack47.1
62.7Defence81.4
36.3Form71.6
44.9Power68.7
0.43xG1.03
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