Leixoesvs
FC Porto B
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 10/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leixoes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B
Original prediction
Leixoes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 59.4% | 61.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.5% | 22.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 17.1% | 15.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Leixoes
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Leixoes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20