Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202616:00Updated today
Leixoes

Leixoes

Home
vs
16:00
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Casa Pia33%
Leixoes33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Leixoes
33%
Draw
33%
Casa Pia
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Casa Pia)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Casa Pia)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Casa PiaCasa Pia
DW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Leixoes33%
Draw33%
Casa Pia33%

Casa Pia leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leixoes head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in unknown form, while Casa Pia arrive in mixed form (DW).

Leixoes have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Casa Pia have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Leixoes and Casa Pia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Leixoes 3333%, Draw 3333%, Casa Pia 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

D
vs Rio Ave
16 May 2026
11
W
@ Guimaraes
11 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leixoes vs Casa Pia?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Casa Pia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Leixoes vs Casa Pia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leixoes vs Casa Pia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more