Leixões U23vs
Vizela U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leixões U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leixões U23 2-2 Vizela U23
Original prediction
Leixões U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.1% | 39.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 28.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 31.6% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Leixões U23
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Leixões U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40