Leixões U23vs
Sporting CP U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leixões U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leixões U23 3-4 Sporting CP U23
Original prediction
Leixões U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 38.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.1% | 34.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Leixões U23
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Leixões U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20