Leixões U23vs
Estoril U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leixões U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leixões U23 2-2 Estoril U23
Original prediction
Leixões U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.6% | 41.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 26.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.9% | 32.1% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Leixões U23
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Leixões U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40