GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leiston · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Leiston are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Redditch United are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leiston hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Leiston holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leiston

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

13.3%

Leiston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeistonLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Redditch UnitedDDDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LeistonRedditch United
66.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power48.3
1.56xG1.02
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