Leistonvs
Peterborough Sports
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leiston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leiston 0-2 Peterborough Sports
Original prediction
Leiston
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.2% | 48.6% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.1% | 22.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.7% | 28.9% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Leiston
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Leiston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80