Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Leioa

Leioa

Home
W
011
Full time
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Athletic Club33%
Leioa33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Leioa
33%
Draw
33%
Athletic Club
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leioa
34
Athletic Club
94
Defence
Leioa
91
Athletic Club
91
Momentum
Leioa
100
Athletic Club
100
Danger (xG)
Leioa
0.90
Athletic Club
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Leioa)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Athletic Club)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Leioa)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Athletic Club)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LeioaLeioa
W
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
WLL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Leioa33%
Draw33%
Athletic Club33%

Athletic Club leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leioa head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Athletic Club arrive in mixed form (W). Leioa have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Athletic Club over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Leioa (91/100) and Athletic Club (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Leioa have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Athletic Club have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Athletic Club have generated 0.81 xG per game recently while conceding 1.90 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Leioa and Athletic Club in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Leioa to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Leioa 3333%, Draw 3333%, Athletic Club 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Leioa

Leioa

W
@ Touring
16 May 2026
10
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

W
@ Derio
15 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Real Madrid
23 May 2026
24
xG 0.8
L
@ Espanyol
13 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leioa vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts Leioa to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leioa vs Athletic Club?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Leioa vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leioa vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more