1. Deild
Leiknir R.
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Throttur Reykjavik
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.65 xG for Leiknir R. and 2.08 xG for Throttur Reykjavik — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.43), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.73 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesLeiknir R.Throttur ReykjavikProbability breakdown
Throttur Reykjavik leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Leiknir R. Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Leiknir R. host Throttur Reykjavik in 1. Deild. Leiknir R. have recorded LWDLLL in recent matches while Throttur Reykjavik arrive with a run of WDLDWW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 4.2 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Throttur Reykjavik are generating a consistent xG advantage — 2.08 projected against 1.65 for Leiknir R.. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.43 is the clearest signal in the model that Throttur Reykjavik are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows Leiknir R. have won 5 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests Throttur Reykjavik's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.
Risk factors
- ⚠These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
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Leiknir R.
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leiknir R. vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Leiknir R. to win with 38% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Leiknir R. vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Leiknir R. vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leiknir R. vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.