1. Deild1. Deild
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 10:10
Leiknir R.

Leiknir R.

Home
LL
21
Full time
IR Reykjavik

IR Reykjavik

Away
LDL
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Leiknir R.(58%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Leiknir R.
Win probability
Leiknir R.
58%
Draw
22%
IR Reykjavik
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leiknir R.
34
IR Reykjavik
23
Defence
Leiknir R.
27
IR Reykjavik
17
Momentum
Leiknir R.
0
IR Reykjavik
11
Danger (xG)
Leiknir R.
0.90
IR Reykjavik
0.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Leiknir R.)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (IR Reykjavik)
0.60
avg per match
xG against (Leiknir R.)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (IR Reykjavik)
2.10
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Leiknir R.Leiknir R.
LLW
IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik
LDLL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Leiknir R.58%
Draw22%
IR Reykjavik20%

Leiknir R. leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leiknir R. head into this in 1. Deild fixture in mixed form (LL), while IR Reykjavik arrive in mixed form (LDL). Leiknir R. have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for IR Reykjavik over 3 games.

The model rates Leiknir R.'s attack at 34/100 against a 17/100 IR Reykjavik defence, and IR Reykjavik's attack at 23/100 against a 27/100 Leiknir R. backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Leiknir R. have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. IR Reykjavik have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per away game.

Leiknir R. have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Leiknir R. to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Leiknir R. 5780%, Draw 2190%, IR Reykjavik 2030%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Leiknir R. 1Draws 00 IR Reykjavik
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
26 Jun 2026
Leiknir R.
W21
IR Reykjavik

Recent form

Leiknir R.

Leiknir R.

L
@ Afturelding
16 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Grotta
10 Jul 2026
01
W
vs IR Reykjavik
26 Jun 2026
21
IR Reykjavik

IR Reykjavik

L
@ HK Kopavogur
14 Jul 2026
15
D
vs Throttur Reykjavik
10 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Afturelding
3 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Leiknir R.
26 Jun 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Leiknir R. to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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