GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Leiknir R. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Afturelding are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leiknir R.WDDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AftureldingDLLDD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leiknir R.Afturelding
44.4Attack100.0
50.0Defence43.1
40.7Form68.6
46.0Power68.0
1.56xG2.65
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