Leighton Townvs
Peterborough Sports
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough Sports · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leighton Town 2-4 Peterborough Sports
Original prediction
Peterborough Sports
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.2% | 28.0% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 22.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.3% | 49.4% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough Sports
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Peterborough Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00