Leicesterfieldvs
Midlands Wanderers
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leicesterfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leicesterfield 0-0 Midlands Wanderers, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leicesterfield 1-0 Midlands Wanderers
Original prediction
Leicesterfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.3% | 41.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.5% | 29.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.2% | 28.5% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Leicesterfield 0–0 Midlands Wanderers
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Leicesterfield
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Leicesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80