Leicestervs
Northampton
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leicester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leicester are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leicester hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Leicester holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leicester
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Leicester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80