Leicester City U21vs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leicester City U21 4-1 Arsenal U21
Original prediction
Arsenal U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.8% | 35.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 24.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.3% | 40.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal U21
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Arsenal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80