GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/21/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester City W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Leicester City FC W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manchester City W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester City W hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 81.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.4% in the FA WSL, while Manchester City W holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester City W

Probability

86.4%

Model confidence

86.4%

Manchester City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leicester City FC WDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Manchester City WWDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Leicester City FC WManchester City W
39.4Attack92.4
31.8Defence77.3
27.3Form83.3
35.0Power81.7
0.62xG3.60
View match centre →