GGOALVIO

England · WSL Cup · 9/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leicester City FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Leicester City FC W 0-2 London City Lionesses W

Original prediction

Leicester City FC W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home10.198.8%40.5%31.8 pts
Draw5.9315.1%20.8%5.7 pts
Away1.1776.2%38.7%-37.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

31.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Leicester City FC W

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Leicester City FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leicester City FC WLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
London City Lionesses WWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Leicester City FC WLondon City Lionesses W
83.3Attack41.7
41.7Defence41.7
58.3Form58.3
60.3Power50.0
2.40xG1.46
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