GGOALVIO

England · Women's Championship · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leicester City FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Leicester City FC W 0-1 Ipswich Town W

Original prediction

Leicester City FC W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4064.2%48.1%-16.1 pts
Draw4.2821.0%26.8%5.8 pts
Away6.0914.8%25.0%10.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Leicester City FC W

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Leicester City FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leicester City FC WWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ipswich Town WDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Leicester City FC WIpswich Town W
83.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power48.3
1.76xG0.99
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