Leicester City FC Wvs
Durham W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leicester City FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leicester City FC W 4-2 Durham W
Original prediction
Leicester City FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.9% | 50.0% | -21.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.1% | 26.1% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 8.95 | 10.1% | 23.9% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Leicester City FC W
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Leicester City FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60