GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/25/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legnago Salus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Legnago Salus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Patria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Legnago Salus holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legnago Salus

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Legnago Salus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legnago SalusWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Legnago SalusPro Patria
40.4Attack32.5
65.8Defence55.3
49.1Form40.4
53.5Power45.1
1.19xG0.59
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