Legnago Salusvs
Padova
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Legnago Salus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20