GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legnago Salus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Legnago Salus are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Legnago Salus holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legnago Salus

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Legnago Salus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legnago SalusWDWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
NovaraDDWDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Legnago SalusNovara
40.4Attack34.2
65.8Defence57.0
49.1Form37.7
53.5Power45.4
1.14xG0.63
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