GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/22/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Legnago Salus are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legnago SalusDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MantovaWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Legnago SalusMantova
40.4Attack63.2
65.8Defence72.8
49.1Form70.2
53.5Power68.8
0.67xG1.24
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