GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wikielec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wikielec hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wikielec holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wikielec

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Wikielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoDWDLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WikielecLDWLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Legionovia LegionowoWikielec
40.2Attack36.3
30.4Defence54.9
26.5Form42.2
34.1Power45.3
1.14xG1.45
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